Warren County Averaging Two New COVID Cases Per Day in November

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WARREN, Pa. – COVID-19 cases are on the rise across Pennsylvania, and Warren County is no exception.

Three more confirmed cases were added to the county’s total with Thursday’s daily report from the Pennsylvania Department of Health, bringing the cumulative county case count to 96, 84 confirmed and 12 probable. The three cases bring November’s total to 25.

The county’s case count increased slowly from March 24, the date the first case was reported in the county, until August. The county had a single case in March, none in April, two in May, four in June and nine in July.

The 14 August cases nearly doubled the county’s total and was the first time Warren County reached double-digits for a single month. September matched August’s 14 by the 12th day of that month, but then things cooled for two weeks and only two more cases were reported for the remainder of the month.

Two 3-day spans accounted for 13 of October’s 27 total cases. Nine new cases were reported from Oct. 8 – 10, and four more were added from Oct. 25 – 27. The county’s single-day high was set Oct. 29 when five new cases were reported.

So far, there has been at least one new case reported in 10 of the 11 days in November (data for Nov. 12 will be released Nov. 13). The only day with no cases was Nov. 8. The single-day high was matched Nov. 9, and just three more cases this month will be enough to set the monthly mark.

The November surge also pushed Warren County from the “low” to “moderate” tier of community spread, the measure the Pennsylvania Department of Education recommends school districts use to determine learning models. Due to reporting lags, the Warren County School District has said it is relying on its own data to determine what model, in-person, full remote or a hybrid of the two, is appropriate for district buildings.

Despite the rise in cases over the last three months, the county still only has a single reported death.

The cumulative case count includes those cases the state considers “recovered.”

A case is considered recovered “if a case has not been reported as a death, and it is more than 30 days past the date of their first positive test (or onset of symptoms) then an individual is considered recovered,” according to the Department of Health.