Lower Crude Oil Prices Could Ease Recent Spikes at the Pump

March 14, 2022

Gas prices are 24 cents higher in Western Pennsylvania this week at $4.378 per gallon, according to AAA East Central’s Gas Price Report. 

This week’s average prices: Western Pennsylvania Average                $4.378
Average price during the week of March 7, 2022                                     $4.132
Average price during the week of March 15, 2021                                   $3.065

The average price of unleaded self-serve gasoline in various areas:      

$4.455      Altoona
$4.415      Beaver
$4.417      Bradford
$4.399      Brookville
$4.333      Butler
$4.405      Clarion
$4.395      DuBois
$4.370      Erie
$4.336      Greensburg
$4.399      Indiana
$4.325      Jeannette
$4.345      Kittanning
$4.340      Latrobe
$4.395      Meadville
$4.422      Mercer
$4.381      New Castle
$4.328      New Kensington
$4.399      Oil City
$4.332      Pittsburgh

$4.399      Sharon
$4.309      Uniontown
$4.459      Warren
$4.341      Washington

Trend Analysis:

After cresting above $123 per barrel shortly after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the price of crude oil has gradually fallen below $110. If this trend holds, it may remove some of the extreme upward price pressure consumers have found at the pump. The national average price of a gallon of gas hit $4.33 on Friday, March 11, before falling a penny and holding throughout the weekend and Monday at $4.32. Today’s national average is 26 cents more than a week ago, 84 cents more than a month ago, and $1.47 more than a year ago.

According to new data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), total domestic gasoline stocks decreased by 1.4 million barrels to 244.6 million barrels last week. Meanwhile, gasoline demand rose slightly from 8.74 million barrels per day to 8.96 million barrels per day. The increase in gas demand and total supply reductions are contributing to rising pump prices. However, increasing oil prices play the lead role in pushing gas prices higher as the cost of crude oil accounts for about 50% of what drivers pay at the pump. Consumers can expect the current trend at the pump to continue if crude prices continue to climb.

At the close of Friday’s formal trading session, West Texas Intermediate increased by $3.31 to settle at $109.33. Crude prices have eased as the market continues to find replacement barrels of oil and further supply growth for the tight market becomes apparent. However, the market remains volatile and additional disruptions or escalation of the current crisis in Ukraine could cause prices to surge again this week. Additionally, EIA reported that total domestic crude stocks decreased by 1.8 million barrels last week to 411.6 million barrels. The current stock level is approximately 17% lower than at the end of February 2021, which continues to put pressure on domestic crude prices.

Motorists can find current gas prices nationwide, statewide, and countywide at GasPrices.AAA.com.

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