WARREN, Pa. – The final day of November was a microcosm of the month, at least as it pertains to new confirmed COVID-19 cases in Warren County.
The month that saw the single-day high change four times finished by shattering the previous total. According to the Pennsylvania Department of Health’s COVID-19 Dashboard data update Tuesday, 33 confirmed cases were reported in Warren County Monday.
The previous single-day high was 22, set Nov. 25. All told, the number of confirmed cases in Warren County increased by 212 in November. There were 60 total confirmed cases from March through October.
Through October, the county had never had more than three consecutive days with new cases. Nov. 8 was the only day this month without a new case report.
Warren County’s cases per 100,000 number, a state-low 179.8 on Oct. 31, ballooned to 767.1 Monday. Warren now trails Cameron County (601.1) for the lowest in the state. The pair are the only counties across the Commonwealth currently under 1,000.
After remaining in the “Low” level of community transmission through October, Warren County moved to “Moderate” on Nov. 6. Just two weeks later, the county reached the “Substantial” level, where it currently remains.
The state introduced the transmission levels in July as a way to measure community spread of COVID-19. The tiers are based on incidence rate per 100,000 residents and PCR percent positivity over a 7-day period.
Those counties with “low” levels of community transmission have less than 10 incidents per 100,000 and less than five percent PCR positivity. “Moderate” levels are between 10 and 99 incidents per 100,000 or five to 10 percent PCR positivity. Those with “substantial” transmission have 100 or more incidents per 100,000 or more than 10 percent PCR positivity.
One area Warren County has remained flat is COVID deaths. June 28 remains the only date with a death reported in the county.
The cumulative case count, up to 303 with probable cases, includes those cases the state considers “recovered.”
A case is considered recovered “if a case has not been reported as a death, and it is more than 30 days past the date of their first positive test (or onset of symptoms) then an individual is considered recovered,” according to the Department of Health.